JEE Main & Advanced Mathematics Probability Question Bank Self Evaluation Test - Probability-I

  • question_answer
    For the three events A, B and C, P (exactly one of the events A or B occurs)=P (exactly one of the two events B or C occurs)=P(exactly one of the events C or A occurs)=P and P (all the three events occur simultaneously)\[={{P}^{2}}\], where 0<p<1/2. Then the probability of at least one of the three events A, B and C occurring is

    A) \[\frac{3p+2{{p}^{2}}}{2}\]

    B) \[\frac{p+3{{p}^{2}}}{4}\]

    C) \[\frac{p+3{{p}^{2}}}{2}\]

    D) \[\frac{3p+2{{p}^{2}}}{4}\]

    Correct Answer: A

    Solution :

    [a] We known that
    P (exactly one of A or B occurs)
    \[=P(A)+P(B)-2P(A\cap B)\]
    \[\therefore P(A)+P(B)-2P(A\cap B)=p\]                ? (1)
    Similarly, \[P(B)+P(C)-2P(B\cap A)=p\]    ? (2)
    and \[P(C)+P(A)-2P(C\cap A)=p\]                        ? (3)
    Adding Eqs. (1), (2), and (3) we get
    \[2[P(A)+P(B)+P(C)-P(A\cap B)-P(B\cap C)-P(C\cap A)]=3p\]\[\Rightarrow P(A)+P(B)+P(C)-P(A\cap B)-P(B\cap C)\]
    \[-P(C\cap A)]=3p/2\]                              ? (4)
    It is also given that
    \[P(A\cap B\cap C)={{p}^{2}}\]                                   ? (5)
    Now,
    P(at least one of A, B and C)
    \[=P(A)+p(B)+p(C)-p(A\cap B)-p(B\cap C)\]
    \[-P(C\cap B)+P(A\cap B\cap C)\]
    \[=\frac{3p}{2}+{{p}^{2}}=\frac{3p+2{{p}^{2}}}{2}\]        [Using Eqs. (4) and (5)]


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